Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 25.042945 28.952841 33.191143 38.116410 43.671743 49.732690 56.834432
2024-12-29 18.692825 24.163147 30.673737 38.941558 49.103957 61.125980 76.357383
2025-01-05 15.399500 21.736095 29.846006 40.864136 55.302110 73.421001 97.698401
2025-01-12 12.178604 18.584067 27.321264 39.902486 57.306727 80.249769 112.437897
2025-01-19 9.584773 15.719006 24.588103 38.045949 57.579635 84.462781 123.708832
2025-01-26 8.744128 15.209329 25.007863 40.510691 63.881379 97.142511 147.212546
2025-02-02 8.330115 15.258260 26.198827 44.144041 72.085781 112.996947 176.189268
2025-02-09 7.363927 14.237532 25.564448 44.843768 75.865877 122.604770 196.682602
2025-02-16 6.420754 13.093682 24.558100 44.783517 78.370444 130.368923 214.812725
2025-02-23 5.563833 11.958555 23.402475 44.304920 80.082512 136.925668 231.385888
2025-03-02 4.870873 11.014098 22.446080 44.025868 82.028944 143.884994 248.892801
2025-03-09 4.284272 10.179882 21.574646 43.775407 83.946045 150.841702 266.706348
2025-03-16 3.453551 8.735442 19.439399 41.127217 81.696484 151.162371 274.435226
2025-03-23 3.150386 8.382187 19.395445 42.414961 86.617126 163.966864 303.841978
2025-03-30 2.961104 8.252573 19.783409 44.570555 93.295294 180.224205 340.066550
2025-04-06 2.523320 7.447864 18.644479 43.548848 93.908162 185.861269 358.340844
2025-04-13 2.080898 6.533199 17.124659 41.546858 92.413541 187.556781 369.724953
2025-04-20 2.013826 6.584240 17.781886 44.209385 100.306218 206.854481 413.534946
2025-04-27 2.024854 6.850571 18.969470 48.130811 111.010907 231.964786 469.116516
2025-05-04 1.844733 6.541873 18.743160 48.885668 115.275339 245.172455 503.541079
2025-05-11 1.642075 6.122840 18.185603 48.820682 117.804978 255.183005 532.512964
2025-05-18 1.443326 5.669286 17.472188 48.304401 119.307203 263.243932 558.170617
2025-05-25 1.278437 5.284326 16.879498 48.003354 121.233145 272.221520 585.993620